Trump’s MAGA Insurrection
Several cases this term stemmed from Trump’s efforts to undo the 2020 election that he had lost.
Generally, the Court’s right-wing majority, including the three justices he nominated, ruled in his favor. In Trump v. United States, the Court majority ruled that he is absolutely immune from prosecution for most of the misconduct alleged in the indictment against him in connection with the 2020 election.
In Fischer v. United States, the majority held that important criminal charges against many who stormed the Capitol on January 6 cannot be brought.
And in Trump v. Anderson, the Court unanimously agreed that states do not have the authority to keep Trump off the ballot as an insurrectionist. But five justices went further: They extended the same protection to insurrectionists in Congress, and they limited how Congress can act to keep insurrectionists from office.
Trump Immunity from Prosecution
On the last day of its 2023-24 Term, the Supreme Court’s far-right majority issued a very troubling decision on the immunity of former presidents like Trump from criminal prosecution, in Trump v United States. We can now be sure, unfortunately, that Trump will not face a jury trial before the election on his efforts to improperly stir up an insurrection and upset the results of the 2020 election. Both for Trump and for American democracy, moreover, the consequences of the ruling are even more far-reaching.
What did the ruling say in general about when an ex-president is immune from criminal prosecution?
Trump argued to the Court that as a former president, he should be absolutely immune from being prosecuted criminally for any conduct while he was in office, such as his efforts to incite a mob to storm the Capitol on January 6, 2021. In some respects, the Court’s majority ruling – written by Chief Justice John Roberts and joined by Justices Thomas and Samuel Alito, and Trump justices Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett (who disagreed with a small part of the ruling) – went even further than that.
Roberts’s opinion tried to lay out general principles concerning a former president’s criminal immunity, which the Court had not previously considered. According to Roberts, presidential actions fall within three categories for purposes of immunity. A president is absolutely immune from prosecution for any acts that fall within the president’s “core” constitutional functions, such as consulting with the attorney general and making treaties with foreign governments.
A president also has at least “presumptive” absolute immunity for any other “official” acts he takes while in office. That means the ex-president is immune unless the government can show that “applying a criminal prohibition to that act” would not create any “dangers of intrusion on the authority and functions of the Executive Branch.” An ex-president has no immunity at all for “unofficial” conduct while in office.
Roberts also set forth two procedural standards that will make it harder to prosecute an ex-president. In separating official from unofficial conduct, he wrote, a court “may not inquire into the President’s motives,” despite the clear relevance of intent and motive in criminal cases. And in a part of the opinion that Barrett disagreed with, Roberts wrote that non-public evidence concerning a president’s official acts “may not be admitted as evidence at trial.” As Barrett wrote in dissent on this point, such evidence can be highly relevant, and the Constitution “does not require blinding juries to the circumstances surrounding conduct for which Presidents can be held liable.”
Justice Sonia Sotomayor strongly dissented from these standards for immunity on behalf of herself and Justices Kagan and Jackson. Although much will depend on precisely how these standards are implemented in the future, she wrote that Roberts’s opinion threatens to transform the entire range of a president’s official conduct into a “law-free zone.” No matter how criminal or corrupt, she suggested, if a President does something as part of his “official” duties, he is at least presumptively immune from possible liability. What if a President “[o]rders the Navy’s Seal Team 6 to assassinate a political rival” or “[t]akes a bribe in exchange for a pardon,” or “[o]rganizes a military coup to hold onto power,” she asked. “Immune, immune, immune” is the majority’s answer, she suggested. When it comes to use of official power, she concluded, the ruling makes the President “a king above the law.”
What did the ruling say specifically about the case against Trump?
The Court’s opinion did not resolve whether Trump is absolutely immune from all the charges in the DC federal indictment against him, but instead sent the case back to the district court to apply the Court’s ruling. It did make several important points, however, most of which will help Trump.
Initially, the majority suggested, the allegations in the indictment against Trump concerning his consultations with the Justice Department about possible prosecution of or threats against state authorities were blocked by absolute immunity. The same is true, the majority indicated, about Trump’s alleged threats to fire the attorney general. These allegations concern the president’s “core” responsibilities over which a president has “conclusive authority,” Roberts wrote, and Trump “cannot be prosecuted” for such conduct, even if possible investigations of states were “sham[s] or proposed for an improper purpose.”
Roberts went on to discuss the indictment’s allegations that Trump improperly sought to influence the vice president’s oversight of the certification process for electoral votes on January 6. Claiming that communications between the two are routine and an important part of their functions, Roberts wrote that there should be a presumption of absolute immunity, which the special counsel can seek to rebut before the district court. As discussed above, Roberts decreed that the prosecution must show that a prosecution involving these issues would not “pose any dangers of intrusion on the authority and function of the Executive Branch.”
Roberts went on to discuss the parts of the indictment that cover Trump’s interactions with people outside the executive branch, including state officials, private parties and the general public. He noted the disagreement between the parties as to whether this conduct was “private” or part of Trump’s “official conduct.” The Court directed that on remand, the district court should hear arguments by both sides and make at least an initial determination as to whether and the extent to which Trump’s conduct in this area “qualified as official or unofficial.”
What happens next in the Trump DC case?
Once Judge Tanya Chutkan formally receives the case back from the Supreme Court by early August, she will likely proceed along the lines that the Court directed. This will involve briefing and hearings, possibly including testimony, on which parts of the Trump indictment special counsel Jack Smith can go forward on. This process will likely take on months, and could well lead to more appeals this summer and fall before any trial can possibly take place. The Justice Department has indicated that it plans to pursue the case after the election, even if Trump wins, at least until inauguration day.
All this makes clear that what happens in November’s election will be critical to whether Trump will face accountability for his actions as charged in the DC indictment against him. If Trump is elected, he will undoubtedly end the case against him upon taking office. Just as important, he will become president with the assurance that he cannot be held liable even for significant and gross misconduct while in office. This election is truly crucial to the future of our democracy.
Letting Insurrectionists Hold Office
In Trump v. Anderson, five of the far-right justices showed just how eager they are to help Donald Trump and other Republicans evade the constitutional ban on insurrectionists holding office. The case involved keeping insurrectionists off the ballot.
How did this case come before the Supreme Court?
Colorado election officials announced the list of people who qualified to be on the ballot for the March 2024 presidential primary. That list included Donald Trump.
But a group of Colorado voters believed that the Constitution bars Trump from being on the ballot. Specifically, Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment prohibits officeholders who engage in insurrection from holding any federal or state office. This protection for democracy was put into the Constitution after the Civil War. Most people had forgotten this provision even existed.
So the Colorado voters went to a state court. They said Trump’s conduct after losing the 2020 election was an insurrection covered by the Fourteenth Amendment. They said he was barred from office, and that, therefore, Colorado officials could not include him on the ballot.
To look into this issue, the judge held a trial that lasted five days. Trump’s attorneys argued that he had not engaged in an insurrection. They also said that Section 3 didn’t apply to the office of the president. And they argued that Section 3 couldn’t be enforced by state officials, but only by Congress.
After weighing all the evidence, the trial judge concluded that Trump had indeed engaged in an insurrection. But the judge also ruled that even so, Section 3 does not apply to the president, so he could still be on the ballot. Both Trump and the voters appealed the decision.
On appeal, the Colorado Supreme Court ruled that Trump had engaged in an insurrection. The state justices also concluded that Section 3 covers the president. Trump appealed this decision to the U.S. Supreme Court.
How did the Supreme Court rule?
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that State officials cannot bar a presidential candidate from the ballot. All nine justices said that it would be too chaotic to have state officials coming to different conclusions about who was eligible for the national office of the presidency.
For Justices Sotomayor, Kagan, Barrett, and Jackson, that was enough to answer the question before the Court. They would have stopped there. But the remaining five justices – Roberts, Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch, and Kavanaugh – went further.
How did five justices help insurrectionists?
Although the case only involved the office of the president (which is a nationwide office), the majority issued a holding affecting all federal offices. They ruled that the only way to bar an insurrectionist from federal office is by Congressional statute. Congress has to pass legislation in order for Section 3 to go into effect with regard to not only the presidency, but any federal offices.
As an example of such a law, they cited an existing law criminalizing insurrection and making it punishable by permanent disqualification from federal office. They also cited provisions in a post-Reconstruction law called the Enforcement Act of 1870. That law had empowered federal district attorneys to go to court to have insurrectionists removed from office; but this provision was repealed in 1948.
Justices Sotomayor, Kagan, and Jackson pointed out that it makes no sense to say that Section 3 is unenforceable until Congress passes a law saying how it would be put into effect. Nothing in the text suggests that. No other part of the Fourteenth Amendment (like the Equal Protection Clause) requires a federal law to be enforceable. And they pointed out the illogic of having a constitutional provision that Congress was free to negate simply by doing nothing.
The progressive justices also sharply criticized the majority for “shut[ting] the door on other potential means of federal enforcement” of Section 3. They wrote:
[The] majority attempts to insulate all alleged insurrectionists from future challenges to their holding federal office.
This is a significant accusation. The progressive justices did not say simply that insulating insurrectionists would be the result of the majority’s decision. They strongly implied that that was the goal of the majority’s decision.
Prosecuting January 6 Insurrectionists
The Supreme Court’s Jun 28 6-3 decision in Fischer v US narrowed the reach of one of the criminal statutes used to prosecute Trump and some of the January 6 insurrectionists. The ruling was somewhat limited, however, and should not interfere with the prosecution of the vast majority of those individuals.
What is the background of this case?
According to the government’s indictment of him, Joseph Fischer was one of the Trump supporters who “invaded” the Capitol building on January 6, 2021, “breaking windows” and “assaulting” Capitol police officers. After both houses of Congress recessed, Fischer “trespassed” into the Capitol and got involved in an “altercation” with Capitol police, in which he “pushed” police away from insurrectionists.
In the indictment against Fischer, one of the charges was violating 18 US Code 1512 (c)(2) providing that any conduct that “otherwise” obstructs an official proceeding violates the law. The Supreme Court decided to review the case.
How did the Supreme Court rule and what is the significance of the decision?
Chief Justice Roberts wrote a 6-3 decision for the Court majority, which also included Justices Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch, Kavanaugh, and Jackson. Roberts rejected the DC Circuit’s broad interpretation of the law, but did not limit it as much as Fischer argued. His opinion held that in order to prove a violation of the statute, the government must establish that an individual attempted to or did “impair[] the availability or integrity for use in an official proceeding of records, documents, objects, or” other things. The dissenters, including Justices Barrett, Kagan, and Sotomayor, maintained that the DC Circuit’s broader interpretation was correct.
Although the Court’s decision obviously has impact on the prosecution of Fischer and some other January 6 insurrectionists, it should not prevent the prosecution of Donald Trump and almost all the other January 6 defendants. Specifically:
(1) With respect to Trump, in addition to the other criminal statutes he is charged with violating, most experts and special counsel Jack Smith believe that the Court’s interpretation of 1512
(c)(2) allows prosecution of Trump under that law. This is because Trump’s conduct did involve documents and evidence to be used. In particular, he was charged with attempting to prevent genuine certificates of election from arriving at the Capitol and with getting false elector certificates submitted. As the court’s opinion specifically states, “it is possible to violate
(c)(2) by creating false evidence” to be used in the proceedings.
(2) Similarly, although more proceedings may be necessary, even those insurrectionists charged under the broader interpretation of the law may be able to be prosecuted under the narrower theory established by the Court majority. Justice Jackson’s concurrence in the opinion suggests that this may include Fischer himself.
(3) A comprehensive analysis of the ruling and Justice Department data by Just Security concludes that the decision overall will have “minimal impact.” For example, only 24% of the January 6 defendants were charged under (c)(2), and almost all of those were also charged with violating other criminal laws.
Overall, while many obstacles remain, the decision in Fischer should not interfere with justice and accountability for January 6 insurrectionists, including Donald Trump. As discussed earlier, however, other rulings in this area are far more troubling and significant, particularly with respect to accountability for Trump.
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